Minnesota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Angie Craig an 89% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2022 primary. Angie Craig won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Angie Craig — 89% model odds (won)
2. Tyler Kistner — 11% model odds
3. Paula M. Overby — 0% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts