Minnesota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brad Finstad a 73% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2022 primary. Brad Finstad won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brad Finstad — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Jeff Ettinger — 27% model odds
  3. Richard B. Reisdorf — 0% model odds
  4. Brian Abrahamson — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts