Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rashida Tlaib a 95% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Rashida Tlaib won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rashida Tlaib — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Steven Elliott — 5% model odds
  3. Gary Walkowicz — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts