Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John James an 88% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. John James won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John James — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Carl J. Marlinga — 12% model odds
  3. Andrea L. Kirby — 0% model odds
  4. Mike Saliba — 0% model odds
  5. Darko Martinovski — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts