Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Jaye a 63% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Lisa Mcclain won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Brian Jaye — 63% model odds
  2. Lisa Mcclain — 37% model odds (won)
  3. Jim Walkowicz — 0% model odds
  4. Jake Kelts — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts