Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Daniel T. Kildee a 67% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Daniel T. Kildee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Daniel T. Kildee — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Junge — 33% model odds
  3. Kathy Goodwin — 0% model odds
  4. David Canny — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts