Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elissa Slotkin a 50% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Elissa Slotkin won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Elissa Slotkin — 50% model odds (won)
2. Tom Barrett — 50% model odds
3. Leah R. Dailey — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts