Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bart Goldberg an 88% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Tim Walberg won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Bart Goldberg — 88% model odds
  2. Tim Walberg — 12% model odds (won)
  3. Norman M. Peterson — 0% model odds
  4. Ezra Scott — 0% model odds
  5. Michael Lee Johnson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts