Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Gibbs a 56% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Hillary Scholten won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. John Gibbs — 56% model odds
  2. Hillary Scholten — 44% model odds (won)
  3. Jamie Lewis — 0% model odds
  4. Louis Palus — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts