Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Moolenaar an 89% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. John Moolenaar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Moolenaar — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Jerry Hilliard — 11% model odds
  3. Nathan Hewer — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts