Michigan House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jack Bergman a 73% chance of winning the Michigan House 2022 primary. Jack Bergman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jack Bergman — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Bob Lorinser — 27% model odds
  3. Liz Hakola — 0% model odds
  4. Andrew Gale — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts