Maine House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared Forrest # Golden a 67% chance of winning the Maine House 2022 primary. Jared Forrest # Golden won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jared Forrest # Golden — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Bruce # Poliquin — 33% model odds
  3. Tiffany # Bond — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered # — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts