California House 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pete Aguilar a 39% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Pete Aguilar won, matching the model's top pick.
- Pete Aguilar — 39% model odds (won)
- Eloise Gomez Reyes — 35% model odds (won)
- Joe Baca — 17% model odds
- Danny Tillman — 9% model odds