Maryland Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Van Hollen a 100% chance of winning the Maryland Senate 2022 primary. Chris Van Hollen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Van Hollen — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Chris Chaffee — 0% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds
  4. Scottie Griffin — 0% model odds
  5. Andrew J. Wildman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts