Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David J. Trone an 89% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. David J. Trone won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David J. Trone — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Neil C. Parrott — 11% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts