Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steny Hoyer a 95% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Steny Hoyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Steny Hoyer — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Chris Palombi — 5% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts