Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger a 95% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Nicolee Ambrose — 5% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts