Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andy Harris an 88% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Andy Harris won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andy Harris — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Heather R. Mizeur — 12% model odds
  3. Daniel Frank Thibeault — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts