California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pablo Kleinman a 45% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Pablo Kleinman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Pablo Kleinman — 45% model odds (won)
  2. Mark S. Reed — 30% model odds (won)
  3. Michael W. Powelson — 26% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts