Massachusetts House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ayanna S. Pressley a 95% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2022 primary. Ayanna S. Pressley won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ayanna S. Pressley — 95% model odds (won)
2. Donnie Dionicio, Jr. Palmer — 5% model odds
3. All Others — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts