Kentucky Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rand Paul an 82% chance of winning the Kentucky Senate 2022 primary. Rand Paul won, matching the model's top pick.
- Rand Paul — 82% model odds (won)
- Charles Booker — 18% model odds
- Charles Lee Thomason — 0% model odds
- Billy Ray Wilson — 0% model odds