Kentucky House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Harold "Hal" Rogers a 100% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2022 primary. Harold "Hal" Rogers won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Harold "Hal" Rogers — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Conor Halbleib — 0% model odds
  3. Stephan William Mazur — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts