Kentucky House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas Massie a 100% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2022 primary. Thomas Massie won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Thomas Massie — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Matthew Lehman — 0% model odds
  3. Ethan Keith Osborne — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts