Kentucky House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Morgan Mcgarvey a 95% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2022 primary. Morgan Mcgarvey won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Morgan Mcgarvey — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Stuart N. Ray — 5% model odds
  3. Daniel Cobble — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts