Kansas Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jerry Moran a 95% chance of winning the Kansas Senate 2022 primary. Jerry Moran won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jerry Moran — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Mark R. Holland — 5% model odds
  3. David C. Graham — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts