Indiana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Erin Houchin an 88% chance of winning the Indiana House 2022 primary. Erin Houchin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Erin Houchin — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Matthew Fyfe — 12% model odds
  3. Tonya L. Millis — 0% model odds
  4. Jacob Bailey — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts