Indiana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul D. Steury a 34% chance of winning the Indiana House 2022 primary. Rudolph (Rudy), Iii # Yakym won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Paul D. Steury — 34% model odds
  2. Paul Steury — 34% model odds
  3. Rudolph (Rudy), Iii # Yakym — 16% model odds (won)
  4. Rudolph (Rudy), Iii Yakym — 16% model odds
  5. William E. Henry — 0% model odds
  6. Mike Hubbard — 0% model odds
  7. William E. Henry — 0% model odds
  8. Marla Godette — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts