Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric Sorensen a 69% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Eric Sorensen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eric Sorensen — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Esther Joy King — 31% model odds
  3. Brad Ahrens — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts