Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Bost a 100% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Mike Bost won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Bost — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Homer "Chip" Markel — 0% model odds
  3. Nancy Foster — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts