Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Casten a 73% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Sean Casten won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sean Casten — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Keith Pekau — 27% model odds
  3. Art Jones — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts