Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Quigley a 100% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Mike Quigley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Quigley — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Tommy Hanson — 0% model odds
  3. Jerico Matias Cruz — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts