Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jesus "Chuy" Garcia a 100% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Jesus "Chuy" Garcia won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jesus "Chuy" Garcia — 100% model odds (won)
  2. James Falakos — 0% model odds
  3. Edward Hershey — 0% model odds
  4. Alicia Martinez — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts