Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jonathan L. Jackson a 100% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Jonathan L. Jackson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jonathan L. Jackson — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Eric Carlson — 0% model odds
  3. Tori "Nick" Nicholson — 0% model odds
  4. Babette U. Peyton — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts