Idaho Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Crapo an 87% chance of winning the Idaho Senate 2022 primary. Mike Crapo won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Crapo — 87% model odds (won)
  2. David Roth — 13% model odds
  3. Scott Oh Cleveland — 0% model odds
  4. Ray J. Writz — 0% model odds
  5. Idaho Sierra Law — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts