Idaho House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Russ Fulcher a 95% chance of winning the Idaho House 2022 primary. Russ Fulcher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Russ Fulcher — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Kaylee Peterson — 5% model odds
  3. Darian # Drake — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts