Iowa House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Zach Nunn a 50% chance of winning the Iowa House 2022 primary. Zach Nunn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Zach Nunn — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Cindy Axne — 50% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts