Iowa House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christina Bohannan a 67% chance of winning the Iowa House 2022 primary. Mariannette Miller-Meeks won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Christina Bohannan — 67% model odds
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks — 33% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 0% model odds