GU House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Judith T. Won Pat a 92% chance of winning the GU House 2022 primary. James C. Moylan won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Judith T. Won Pat — 92% model odds
  2. James C. Moylan — 8% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts