Georgia Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Herschel Junior Walker a 53% chance of winning the Georgia Senate 2022 primary. Raphael Warnock won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Herschel Junior Walker — 53% model odds
  2. Raphael Warnock — 47% model odds (won)
  3. Chase Oliver — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts