Georgia House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Gonsalves a 56% chance of winning the Georgia House 2022 primary. Lucy Mcbath won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Mark Gonsalves — 56% model odds
- Lucy Mcbath — 44% model odds (won)
- Lisa Babbage — 0% model odds