Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mario Diaz-Balart a 63% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Mario Diaz-Balart won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mario Diaz-Balart — 63% model odds (won)
  2. Christine Alexandria Olivo — 37% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts