Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared Moskowitz a 95% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Jared Moskowitz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jared Moskowitz — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Budd — 5% model odds
  3. Christine Scott — 0% model odds
  4. Mark Napier — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts