Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Corinna Balderramos Robinson a 95% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Brian Mast won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Corinna Balderramos Robinson — 95% model odds
  2. Brian Mast — 5% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts