Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathy Castor an 89% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Kathy Castor won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kathy Castor — 89% model odds (won)
  2. James Judge — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts