Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gus Michael Bilirakis an 88% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Gus Michael Bilirakis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gus Michael Bilirakis — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Kimberly Walker — 12% model odds
  3. Charles Smith — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts