Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Darren Soto an 89% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Darren Soto won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Darren Soto — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Scotty Moore — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts