Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Karen Green a 68% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Cory Mills won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Karen Green — 68% model odds
  2. Cory Mills — 32% model odds (won)
  3. Cardon Pompey — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts