Delaware House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lisa Blunt Rochester a 63% chance of winning the Delaware House 2022 primary. Lisa Blunt Rochester won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lisa Blunt Rochester — 63% model odds (won)
  2. David Rogers — 37% model odds
  3. Lee Murphy — 0% model odds
  4. Cody Mcnutt — 0% model odds
  5. Scott Walker — 0% model odds
  6. Edward Shlikas — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts