DC House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eleanor H. Norton a 50% chance of winning the DC House 2022 primary. Eleanor H. Norton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eleanor H. Norton — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Natalie Stracuzzi — 50% model odds
  3. Nelson F. Rimensnyder — 0% model odds
  4. Bruce Majors — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts