Colorado House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Yadira Caraveo a 67% chance of winning the Colorado House 2022 primary. Yadira Caraveo won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Yadira Caraveo — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Barbara Kirkmeyer — 33% model odds
  3. Richard Ward — 0% model odds
  4. Tim Long — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts